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PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 2:08 am 
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This weeks games, Tuesday’s Apr 3rd and Thursday’s Apr 5th 2018

Tuesday Apr 3rd
Stockport........ 3-2 Tamworth

Thursday Apr 5th
Curzon Ashton 2-2 Alfreton
Telford............ 3-2 Spennymoor


The Vanarama National League North, Thu Apr 5th 2018

............................. Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A...GD..Pts
01. Salford .......... 37 14 2 3. 10 5 .3 71 43. 28.. 79
02. Harrogate...... 37 13 4 2. 10 3 .5 90 43. 47.. 76
03. Brackley......... 35 12 5 0.. 7 6 ..5 62 31. 31.. 68
04. Kidderminster 36 11 5 2.. 5 6 ..7 64 44. 20.. 59
05. Stockport....... 36 11 4 4.. 6 3 ..8 67 51. 15.. 58
06. York............... 36.. 9 6 4.. 7 3 ..7 63 53. 10.. 57
07. Spennymoor... 33.. 8 3 3.. 8 3 ..8 61 55... 6.. 54
08. Blyth.............. 35.. 9 1 6.. 8 0 11 69 60... 9.. 52
09. Chorley........... 35.. 8 7 3.. 5 6 ..6 40 31... 9.. 52
10. Bradford. ....... 37.. 7 4 8.. 6 5 ..7 57 53... 4.. 48
11. Darlington...... 36.. 9 4 5.. 3 7 ..8 50 49... 1.. 47
12. Southport...... 35.. 8 4 6.. 5 4 ..8 55 61.. -6.. 47
13. Boston........... 35.. 9 5 4.. 4 2 11 57 61.. -4.. 46
14. Nuneaton....... 35.. 7 5 5.. 5 4 ..9 43 50.. -7.. 45
15. Leamington.... 36.. 7 3 8.. 5 5 ..8 45 55 -10.. 44
16. FCUM.............. 37 11 2 5.. 1 6 12 54 67 -13.. 44
17. Alfreton........... 38.. 6 3 10 6 4 ..9 62 65.. -3.. 43
18. Tamworth........ 38.. 7 6 6.. 4 3 12 52 66 -14.. 42
19. Curzon Ashton 35.. 7 6 4.. 3 5 10 46 55.. -9.. 41
20. Telford............. 35.. 6 3 9.. 6 2 ..9 45 60 -15.. 41
21. Gainsborough. 36.. 9 1 9.. 2 3 12 40 67 -27.. 37
22. North Ferriby... 37.. 1 5 12 2 3 14 20 93 -73.. 17

My picks to go down, Tamworth, Gainsborough and North Ferriby.
After Telford’s win today and Curzon Ashton & Tamworth’s remaining games, I can see both teams passing Tamworth.


Salford;
No game today;

Harrogate;
No game today;

Brackley;
No game today;

Kidderminster;
No game today;

Stockport;
Stockport 3-2 Tamworth; Rearranged on Tuesday after being postponed on Monday, Stockport came from behind to lead 2-1 at half time, they increased their lead before a late consolation goal from Tamworth to win 3-2. Stockport rise to 5th place above York.

York;
No game today; York fall to 6th place after Stockport’s win on Tuesday night.

Spennymoor;
Telford 3-2 Spennymoor; Despite falling behind after 9 mins, Spennymoor fought back with goals on 13 and 23 mins to lead at half time. Telford were the better team in the 2nd half, scoring in the 53rd and 73rd min for a deserved win. Spenny remain in 7th place.

Blyth;
No game today;

Chorley;
No game today;

Bradford P.A.;
No game today;

Darlington; (3 games against common bottom 11 opponents); 14/04 FCUM (A), 21/04 Nuneaton (H), 25/04 Southport (H)
No game today.

Southport; (2 games); 07/04 Nuneaton (H), 25/04 Darlington (A)
No game today.

Boston; (3 games); 07/04 Darlington (A), 28/04 Telford (H), 24/04 Nuneaton (A)
No game today.

Nuneaton; (3 games); Fri, 07/04 Southport (A), 16/04 Curzon (A), 21/04 Darlington (A)
No game today.

Leamington; (2 games); 12/04 Telford (A), 14/04 Curzon (H)
No game today.

FC Utd of Man; (4 games); 07/04 Tamworth (A), 14/04 Darlington (H), 21/04 Alfreton (A), 28/04 North Ferriby
No game today.

Alfreton; (1 game); 21/04 FCUM (H)
Curzon Ashton 2-2 Alfreton; A game of two halves, Alfreton did not play well in the first half and trailed 0-2 at half time. Goals in the 50th and 56th min secured a point for them in their bid to avoid relegation. Alfreton remain in 17th place, they are now a point in front of Tamworth with far superior goal difference (-3 to -14), both teams have 4 games to play. Telford in 20th place are 2 points behind with three games in hand.

Tamworth; (2 games); 07/04 FCUM (H), 28/04 Gainsborough (A)
Stockport 3-2 Tamworth; On Tuesday night, Tamworth took the lead on 20 mins, but trailed 1-2 at half time, they made it 2-3 on 86 mins but were not able to get a point against playoff chasing Stockport. With Thursday’s results of Curzon drawing with Alfreton and Telford beating Spennymoor, Tamworth appear vulnerable for the drop, Curzon and Telford are one point behind, each with three games in hand to play.

Curzon Ashton; (3 games); 11/04 Gainsborough (H), 14/04 Leamington (A ), 16/04 Nuneaton (H)
Curzon Ashton 2-2 Alfreton; With goals after 15 and 27 mins, a two goal lead at half time looked good for Curzon Ashton. The second half saw them outplayed and forced to settle for a point with a 2-2 draw. Curzon are now tied with Telford for 3rd bottom but have a better goal difference (-9 to -16). They will be hoping for at least 1 point from three games in hand on Tamworth to jump above them.

Telford; (2 games); 21/04 Gainsborough (H), 12/04 Leamington (H)
Telford 3-2 Spennymoor; Telford got off to a great start, taking the lead in the 9th min. By half time they were losing but were the better team in the second half, scoring in the 53rd and 73rd min to win 3-2.
The win keeps Telford in 20th place but they are now tied on points with Curzon Ashton, above them Alfreton 2 points ahead and Tamworth 1 point ahead, but Telford has three games in hand on both teams.

Gainsborough; (4 games); 11/04 Curzon (A), 17/04 North Ferriby (A), 21/04 Telford (A), 28/04 Tamworth (H)
No game today.

North Ferriby; (2 games); 17/04 Gainsborough (H), 28/04 FCUM (A)
No game today.


The original Bottom 11 opponents and results prediction
...........Nun.......... Lea......... Alfr.......... Crz.......... FCM...... Tam......... Telf....... Gai
07/04 Sou(A) 1 .. BPA(A) 1. Spe(H) 1 . Bra(H) 0 . Tam(A)1 FCM(H) 1 Cho(H)1 Sal(A) 0
10/04 Yor(H) 1 ... Cho(H)1
11/04 ................................................ Gai(H) 3 ............................................. Crz(A) 0
12/04 ................ Telf(A) 1 ................................................................ Lea(H)1
14/04 Sal(H) 0 ... Crz(H) 1 . Bra(A) 0 . Lea(A) 1 . Dar(H) 1 Kid(A)0 .. Sto(A) 0 Yor(H) 1
16/04 Crz(A) 1 ................................... Nun(H) 1
17/04 ................................................................ Yor(H) 1 ................ Bly(A) 0 NFr(A) 3
21/04 Dar(A) 0 ... Yor(A) 0 . FCM(H) 1 . Spe(H) 1 Alfr(A) 1 Cho(H) 0 . Gai(H) 3 Tel(A) 0
24/04 Bos (H) 0 .................................. Bly(A) 0 ............................... Spe(A) 0
28/04 Bly(H) 1 .... Sal(H) 0 . Cho(A) 0 . Har(A) 0 . NFr(H) 3 Gai(A) 1 . Bos(A) 1 Tam(H) 1


Total ..............4..............4..............2...............6.............6.............2..............6............5


The original Bottom 11 outstanding games against their opponents

Darlington (3 games)
14/04 FCUM (A)
21/04 Nuneaton (H)
25/04 Southport (H)

Southport (2 games)
07/04 Nuneaton (H)
25/04 Darlington (A))

Nuneaton (3 games)
07/04 Southport (A)
16/04 Curzon (A) Mon
21/04 Darlington (A)

FCUM (4 games)
07/04 Tamworth (A)
14/04 Darlington (H)
21/04 Alfreton (A)
28/04 North Ferriby

Alfreton (1 game)
21/04 FCUM (H)

Leamington (2 games)
12/04 Telford (A)
14/04 Curzon (H)

Curzon Ashton (3 games)
11/04 Gainsborough (H)
14/04 Leamington (A)
16/04 Nuneaton (H) Mon

Tamworth (2 games)
07/04 FCUM (H)
28/04 Gainsborough (A)

Telford (2 games)
12/04 Leamington (H)
21/04 Gainsborough (H)

Gainsborough (4 games)
11/04 Curzon (A)
17/04 North Ferriby (A)
21/04 Telford (A)
28/04 Tamworth (H)


North Ferriby (2 games)
17/04 Gainsborough (H)
28/04 FCUM (A)



This week’s games

07/04 Saturday
DARLINGTON..... vs Boston
ALFRETON......... vs Spennymoor
Blyth................. vs Kidderminster
Bradford........... vs LEAMINGTON
CURZON........... vs Brackley
NORTH FERRIBY vs Stockport
Salford.............. vs GAINSBOROUGH
SOUTHPORT...... vs NUNEATON
TAMWORTH....... vs FCUM
TELFORD........... vs Chorley
York................... vs Harrogate




Comments

Winners
Telford beating Spennymoor

Losers
Tamworth losing at Stockport, getting closer to the bottom three
Spennymoor, in danger of losing a playoff place


............................. Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A...GD..Pts Max pts..one point per game
01. Salford .......... 37 14 2 3. 10 5 .3 71 43. 28.. 79
02. Harrogate...... 37 13 4 2. 10 3 .5 90 43. 47.. 76
03. Brackley......... 35 12 5 0.. 7 6 ..5 62 31. 31.. 68
04. Kidderminster 36 11 5 2.. 5 6 ..7 64 44. 20.. 59.......77
05. Stockport....... 36 11 4 4.. 6 3 ..8 67 51. 15.. 58.......76
06. York............... 36.. 9 6 4.. 7 3 ..7 63 53. 10.. 57.......75
07. Spennymoor... 33.. 8 3 3.. 8 3 ..8 61 55... 6.. 54.......81
08. Blyth.............. 35.. 9 1 6.. 8 0 11 69 60... 9.. 52.......73
09. Chorley........... 35.. 8 7 3.. 5 6 ..6 40 31... 9.. 52.......73
10. Bradford. ....... 37.. 7 4 8.. 6 5 ..7 57 53... 4.. 48.......63.........53
11. Darlington...... 36.. 9 4 5.. 3 7 ..8 50 49... 1.. 47.......65.........53
12. Southport...... 35.. 8 4 6.. 5 4 ..8 55 61.. -6.. 47.......68.........54
13. Boston........... 35.. 9 5 4.. 4 2 11 57 61.. -4.. 46.......67.........53
14. Nuneaton....... 35.. 7 5 5.. 5 4 ..9 43 50.. -7.. 45.......66.........52
15. Leamington.... 36.. 7 3 8.. 5 5 ..8 45 55 -10.. 44.......62.........50
16. FCUM.............. 37 11 2 5.. 1 6 12 54 67 -13.. 44.......59.........49
17. Alfreton........... 38.. 6 3 10 6 4 ..9 62 65.. -3.. 43.......55.........47
18. Tamworth........ 38.. 7 6 6.. 4 3 12 52 66 -14.. 42........54........46
19. Curzon Ashton 35.. 7 6 4.. 3 5 10 46 55.. -9.. 41........62........48
20. Telford............. 35.. 6 3 9.. 6 2 ..9 45 60 -15.. 41........62........48
21. Gainsborough. 36.. 9 1 9.. 2 3 12 40 67 -27.. 37........55........43
22. North Ferriby... 37.. 1 5 12 2 3 14 20 93 -73.. 17


47 points might be the number of points to avoid relegation based on teams below us averaging 1 point per game, Tamworth will get to 46, Gainsborough to 43, Darlington are now on 47 points in the actual league table.


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 7:55 am 
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Great update yet again. You keeping flip flipping between Tamworth and Telford.


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 6:09 pm 
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Darlo_Pete wrote:
Great update yet again. You keeping flip flipping between Tamworth and Telford.


Thanks Darlo_Pete, with Tamworth losing at Stockport, and Telford beating Spennymoor, my mind was changed (again!!!).

Tamworth last four games, I am predicting,

07/04 FCUM (H)........... 1 point
14/04 Kidderminster (A) 0 points
21/04 Chorley (H)......... 0 points
28/04 Gainsborough (A). 1 point

If Gainsborough are already relegated on the last Saturday, maybe there is no fight in them and Tamworth gets 3, maybe Chorley at home is a draw, so 5 points, I can see Telford getting 6 as they have been playing better recently,

07/04 Chorley (H)......... 1 point
12/04 Leamington (H).... 1 point
14/04 Stockport (A)....... 0 points
17/04 Blyth (A)............. 0 points
21/04 Gainsborough (H). 3 points
24/04 Spennymoor (A)... 0 points
28/04 Boston (A)........... 1 point

If Telford beats Chorley or Leamington at home, a draw in the other game, as well as beats Gainsborough, that's seven points. Telford have more games, and a little easier fixture list to make up one point, if Tamworth stays up, it may be because Curzon Ashton playing four of their last seven against teams in the Top 8 could not find enough points, but I think Curzon can beat Gainsborough. An exciting three weeks to go at the bottom of the table.


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 6:16 pm 
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The way Blyth and Spennymoor are playing at the moment, I can see Telford getting something from those 2 away games as well.


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PostPosted: Fri Apr 06, 2018 6:20 pm 
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Darlo_Pete wrote:
The way Blyth and Spennymoor are playing at the moment, I can see Telford getting something from those 2 away games as well.


That would not be good news for Tamworth.


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