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PostPosted: Fri Apr 13, 2018 5:18 am 
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Joined: Sat Mar 30, 2013 5:19 pm
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Location: United States
Team Supported: Darlington
Today’s games, Thursday Apr 12th 2018

12/04 Thursday
Telford......... 3-2 Leamington
Spennymoor 0-3 Brackley



The Vanarama National League North, Thu Apr 12th 2018

............................. Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A...GD..Pts
01. Salford .......... 38 15 2 3. 10 5 .3 72 43. 29.. 82
02. Harrogate...... 38 13 4 2. 11 3 .5 92 43. 49.. 79
03. Brackley......... 37 12 5 0.. 9 6 ..5 67 31. 36.. 74
04. Kidderminster 38 12 5 2.. 6 6 ..7 69 46. 23.. 65
05. Stockport....... 38 11 4 4.. 7 3 ..9 71 55. 16.. 61
06. Spennymoor... 36.. 8 4 4.. 9 3 ..8 65 59... 6.. 58
07. York................ 38.. 9 6 5.. 7 3 ..8 63 56... 7.. 57
08. Chorley........... 36.. 8 7 3.. 6 6 ..6 42 32. 10.. 55
09. Blyth............... 36.. 9 1 7.. 8 0 11 70 62... 8.. 52
10. Bradford. ....... 38.. 8 4 8.. 6 5 ..7 58 53... 5.. 51
11. Nuneaton....... 37.. 8 5 5.. 6 4 ..9 45 50.. -5.. 51
12. Boston........... 37.. 9 5 4.. 5 3 11 59 62.. -3.. 50
13. Darlington...... 37.. 9 4 6.. 3 7 ..8 51 51... 0.. 47
14. Southport....... 36.. 8 4 7.. 5 4 ..8 55 62.. -7.. 47
15. FCUM.............. 38 11 2 5.. 2 6 12 56 67 -11.. 47
16. Curzon Ashton 37.. 8 6 5.. 3 5 10 48 57.. -9.. 44
17. Leamington.... 38.. 7 3 8.. 5 5 10 47 59 -12.. 44
18. Telford............. 37.. 7 3 10 6 2 ..9 49 64 -15.. 44
19. Alfreton........... 39.. 6 3 11 6 4 ..9 63 69.. -6.. 43
20. Tamworth........ 39.. 7 6 7.. 4 3 12 52 68 -16.. 42
21. Gainsborough. 38.. 9 1 9.. 2 3 14 40 70 -30.. 37
22. North Ferriby... 38.. 1 5 13 2 3 14 21 96 -75.. 17

My picks to go down, Tamworth, Gainsborough and North Ferriby.
No change, Telford’s win tonight has Tamworth drop into the bottom three, with their next two games away at Kidderminster and home to Chorley, it does not get any easier for Tamworth. It's taken two month's of me picking Telford or Tamworth going down for Telford to finally make it out of the bottom three.


Salford;
No game tonight;

Harrogate;
No game tonight;

Brackley;
Spennymoor 0-3 Brackley; Brackley travelled to Harrogate to play Spennymoor, and won convincingly 3-0, after leading 2-0 at half time.

Kidderminster;
No game tonight;

Stockport;
No game tonight;

Spennymoor;
Spennymoor 0-3 Brackley; For the second time in 3 days at Harrogate, Spennymoor had a home game and again failed to score. Brackley scored after 17, 30 & 90 mins to win 0-3. Spenny stay in to 6th, Spenny (58 points) has two games in hand on 4th place Kidderminster (65 points) and 5th place Stockport (61 points), with burning up two midweek games for 1 point they now find 8th place Chorley also on 36 games and 3 points behind (55), 9th place Blyth also 36 games but 52 points. Including 7th place York (38 games, 57 points), five teams (Stockport, Spennymoor, York, Chorley and Blyth) are competing for the last three playoff berths.

York;
No game tonight;

Chorley;
No game tonight;

Blyth;
No game tonight;

Bradford P.A.;
No game tonight;

Nuneaton; (2 games); 16/04 Curzon (A), 21/04 Darlington (A)
No game tonight;

Boston; (2 games); 24/04 Nuneaton (A), 28/04 Telford (H)
No game tonight;

Darlington; (3 games against common bottom 11 opponents); 14/04 FCUM (A), 21/04 Nuneaton (H), 25/04 Southport (H)
No game tonight;

Southport; (1 game); 25/04 Darlington (A)
No game tonight;

FC Utd of Man; (3 games); 14/04 Darlington (H), 21/04 Alfreton (A), 28/04 North Ferriby
No game tonight;

Curzon Ashton; (2 games); 14/04 Leamington (A ), 16/04 Nuneaton (H)
No game tonight; Curzon remain in 16th place on goal difference (-9), they remain tied on 44 points with Leamington (-12) and now Telford join them (-15) after Telford’s win tonight. 20th place is now Tamworth on 42 points (-16). Curzon need 7 points from 5 games to be mathematically safe, assuming they maintain their better goal difference. A big game on Saturday, Leamington vs Curzon Ashton.

Leamington; (1 game); 14/04 Curzon (H)
Telford 3-2 Leamington; Leamington went down tonight 2-3 to Telford in a hard fought game, trailing early 1-0 they scored in the 9th and 23rd min to take the lead before Telford tied the game before half time. Telford won the game with a 54th min winner. Leamington remain in 17th place, now tied with Telford below them on goal difference, two points above 20th place Tamworth and a better goal difference (-12 to -16). Leamington need 7 points from 4 games to be mathematically safe, assuming they maintain their better goal difference. A big game on Saturday, Leamington vs Curzon Ashton.

Telford; (1 game); 21/04 Gainsborough (H)
Telford 3-2 Leamington; In front of 977 fans, Telford got off to a get start leading after 6 mins, but conceded two goals after 9 and 23 mins. Telford fought back to equalise on 34 mins. The only goal of the second half was the Telford winner after 54 mins. Telford rise to 18th place, they are two points in front of 20th place Tamworth and still have two games in hand on Tamworth.

Alfreton; (1 game); 21/04 FCUM (H)
No game tonight; Alfreton fall to 19th place after Telford’s 3-2 win over Leamington.

Tamworth; (1 game); 28/04 Gainsborough (A)
No game tonight; On Tuesday night Tamworth fell to 19th place after Curzon Ashton’s 2-0 win over Gainsborough, tonight Tamworth fall to 20th place after Telford’s 3-2 win over Leamington, they are now 3rd bottom and in the relegation zone . With three games to go, without a sudden improvement in form, Tamworth will be relegated. On Saturday, they go to 4th place Kidderminster.

Gainsborough; (3 games); 17/04 North Ferriby (A), 21/04 Telford (A), 28/04 Tamworth (H)
No game tonight; Gainsborough saw their chances of escaping relegation become a lot harder with Telford’s win tonight over Leamington. With a -30 goal difference, Gainsborough need 7 points to get to 19th place without Alfreton or Tamworth gaining another point, they have 4 games left in their season.

North Ferriby; (2 games); 17/04 Gainsborough (H), 28/04 FCUM (A)
No game midweek;


The original Bottom 11 opponents and results prediction
...........Nun.......... Lea......... Alfr.......... Crz.......... FCM...... Tam......... Telf....... Gai
14/04 Sal(H) 0 ... Crz(H) 1 . Bra(A) 0 . Lea(A) 1 . Dar(H) 1 Kid(A)0 .. Sto(A) 0 Yor(H) 1
16/04 Crz(A) 1 ................................... Nun(H) 1
17/04 ................................................................ Yor(H) 1 ................ Bly(A) 0 NFr(A) 3
21/04 Dar(A) 0 ... Yor(A) 0 . FCM(H) 1 . Spe(H) 1 Alfr(A) 1 Cho(H) 0 . Gai(H) 3 Tel(A) 0
24/04 Bos (H) 0 .................................. Bly(A) 0 ............................... Spe(A) 0
28/04 Bly(H) 1 .... Sal(H) 0 . Cho(A) 0 . Har(A) 0 . NFr(H) 3 Gai(A) 1 . Bos(A) 1 Tam(H) 1
ddmm................. Cho(H)1


Total ..............2..............3..............1...............3.............6.............1..............4............5


The original Bottom 11 outstanding games against their opponents

Nuneaton (2 games)
16/04 Curzon (A) Mon
21/04 Darlington (A)

Darlington (3 games)
14/04 FCUM (A)
21/04 Nuneaton (H)
25/04 Southport (H)

Southport (1 game)
25/04 Darlington (A)

FCUM (3 games)
14/04 Darlington (H)
21/04 Alfreton (A)
28/04 North Ferriby

Leamington (1 game)
14/04 Curzon (H)

Alfreton (1 game)
21/04 FCUM (H)

Tamworth (1 game)
28/04 Gainsborough (A)

Curzon Ashton (2 games)
14/04 Leamington (A)
16/04 Nuneaton (H) Mon

Telford (1 game)
21/04 Gainsborough (H)

Gainsborough (3 games)
17/04 North Ferriby (A)
21/04 Telford (A)
28/04 Tamworth (H)

North Ferriby (2 games)
17/04 Gainsborough (H)
28/04 FCUM (A)



This week’s games

14/04 Saturday
FCUM............... vs Darlington
Boston............ vs Bradford
Brackley.......... vs Alfreton
Chorley........... vs Blyth
Gainsborough vs York
Harrogate....... vs Southport
Kidderminster.. vs Tamworth
Leamington.... vs Curzon Ashton
Nuneaton ....... vs Salford
Spennymoor.... vs North Ferriby
Stockport........ vs Telford



Comments

Winners
Telford, finally getting out of the bottom three.

Losers
Tamworth, falling into the bottom three with Telford’s win.
Gainsborough, needing at least 7 points from their last 4 games to stand any chance of staying up.


............................. Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A...GD..Pts Max pts..one point per game
01. Salford .......... 38 15 2 3. 10 5 .3 72 43. 29.. 82
02. Harrogate...... 38 13 4 2. 11 3 .5 92 43. 49.. 79
03. Brackley......... 37 12 5 0.. 9 6 ..5 67 31. 36.. 74
04. Kidderminster 38 12 5 2.. 6 6 ..7 69 46. 23.. 65
05. Stockport....... 38 11 4 4.. 7 3 ..9 71 55. 16.. 61
06. Spennymoor... 36.. 8 4 4.. 9 3 ..8 65 59... 6.. 58
07. York................ 38.. 9 6 5.. 7 3 ..8 63 56... 7.. 57
08. Chorley........... 36.. 8 7 3.. 6 6 ..6 42 32. 10.. 55
09. Blyth............... 36.. 9 1 7.. 8 0 11 70 62... 8.. 52
10. Bradford. ....... 38.. 8 4 8.. 6 5 ..7 58 53... 5.. 51.......63.........52
11. Nuneaton....... 37.. 8 5 5.. 6 4 ..9 45 50.. -5.. 51.......66.........56
12. Boston........... 37.. 9 5 4.. 5 3 11 59 62.. -3.. 50.......65.........55
13. Darlington...... 37.. 9 4 6.. 3 7 ..8 51 51... 0.. 47.......62.........52
14. Southport....... 36.. 8 4 7.. 5 4 ..8 55 62.. -7.. 47.......65.........53
15. FCUM.............. 38 11 2 5.. 2 6 12 56 67 -11.. 47.......59.........51
16. Curzon Ashton 37.. 8 6 5.. 3 5 10 48 57.. -9.. 44.......59.........49
17. Leamington.... 38.. 7 3 8.. 5 5 10 47 59 -12.. 44.......56.........48
18. Telford............. 37.. 7 3 10 6 2 ..9 49 64 -15.. 44.......59.........49
19. Alfreton........... 39.. 6 3 11 6 4 ..9 63 69.. -6.. 43.......52.........46
20. Tamworth........ 39.. 7 6 7.. 4 3 12 52 68 -16.. 42.......51.........45
21. Gainsborough. 38.. 9 1 9.. 2 3 14 40 70 -30.. 37.......49.........41
22. North Ferriby... 38.. 1 5 13 2 3 14 21 96 -75.. 17


46 points might be the number of points to avoid relegation based on teams below us averaging 1 point per game, Tamworth will get to 45, Gainsborough to 41, Darlington are now on 47 points in the actual league table. Darlington are almost mathematically safe, Tamworth can only get to 51, Gainsborough can get to 49.



How the tables have changed, just over two months ago when Tamworth entered the Bottom 11
Sat Feb 10th 2018
............................ Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A....GD..Pts
12. FCUM............. 30.. 9 2 4.. 1 5 .9 45 54... -9.. 37
13. Alfreton.......... 29.. 6 2 7.. 5 1 .8 47 47.... 0.. 36
14. Darlington...... 30.. 6 4 5.. 3 5 .7 41 45... -4.. 36
15. Tamworth....... 30.. 6 3 5.. 4 3 .8 42 50... -8.. 36
16. Southport....... 29.. 5 4 5.. 4 4 .7 40 54. -14.. 35
17. Nuneaton....... 28.. 7 3 5.. 2 3 .8 35 44... -9.. 33
18. Leamington.... 30.. 4 3 8.. 4 5 .6 41 50... -9.. 32
19. Curzon Ashton 28.. 5 5 4.. 2 5 .7 34 46. -12.. 31
20. Gainsborough. 29.. 7 1 7.. 2 3 .9 32 57. -25.. 31
21. Telford............. 26.. 4 2 7.. 5 1 .7 36 46. -10.. 30
22. North Ferriby... 29.. 0 4 11 1 2 11 14 74. -60... 9

Darlington, Tamworth, Alfreton and Telford’s record
............................ Pd .W D L..W D L...F..A...GD..Pts
Feb 10
13. Alfreton.......... 29.. 6 2 7.. 5 1 .8 47 47.... 0.. 36
14. Darlington...... 30.. 6 4 5.. 3 5 .7 41 45... -4.. 36
15. Tamworth....... 30.. 6 3 5.. 4 3 .8 42 50... -8.. 36
21. Telford............ 26.. 4 2 7.. 5 1 .7 36 46. -10.. 30

Apr 12
13. Darlington...... 37.. 9 4 6.. 3 7 ..8 51 51... 0.. 47
18. Telford............ 37.. 7 3 10 6 2 ..9 49 64 -15.. 44
19. Alfreton.......... 39.. 6 3 11 6 4 ..9 63 69.. -6.. 43
20. Tamworth....... 39.. 7 6 7.. 4 3 12 52 68 -16.. 42

Eight points more for Telford over Tamworth but only two extra games played, 0 away points for Tamworth. Alfreton may be safe only because Tamworth will be 1 point worse. Thankfully Darlington's hot streak had started and the home wins since have been so important.
During this time period of two months, Darlington averaging 1.57 points per game, that was critical to keeping the points gap despite playing less games, in comparison, Telford are 1.27 points per game, Alfreton are 0.7 points just better than Telford's 0.66 points per game.
xx. Darlington........ 7.. 3 0 1.. 0 2 ..1 10 ..6. 4 11
xx. Telford............ 11.. 3 1 3.. 1 1 ..2 13 18 -5 14
xx. Alfreton.......... 10.. 0 1 4.. 1 3 ..1 16 22 -6.. 7
xx. Tamworth..........9.. 1 3 2.. 0 0 ..4 10 18 -8.. 6


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