4th Place Finish This Season

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spen666
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4th Place Finish This Season

Post by spen666 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:09 am

If you go onto the NLN table on Football Web Pages at https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/nati ... /predicted

This is their predicted final table and at the bottom of the page are the predicted match results.

Image



I'm sure not even the most optimistic fan would have said a 4th place finish is still realistic. Oh and York to only finish 9th!

lo36789
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by lo36789 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:39 am

Not based on how we are playing, but equally we are only a quarter of the way through the league season. Win our games in hand on second placed Chester and we would go above them.

It's not unrealistic but it is also not particularly likely. We don't appear to have the cohesion needed to win that many games on the bounce and I don't think the way this season is playing out helps that either.

I might be wrong but also think Armstrong teams have form for finishing seasons stronger than they start them.

MB86DFC
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by MB86DFC » Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:41 am

The most fanciful aspect of that table is our 11 home wins

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theoriginalfatcat
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by theoriginalfatcat » Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:46 am

Minus 85 goal difference for Blyth!!

That's Fort William standard...
Mr Singh said this " I'm not expecting to get back any of the money I've already put in, I'm prepared to write it off for the future of the club. I'm not hanging in to make any kind of financial gain in the short or long term - if someone was prepared to come in and take the club off my hands, I'd be more than willing to discuss it"

Tamworth matchday programme 26 Nov 2011

Old Git
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by Old Git » Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:55 am

Away record predicts only 3 away defeats. By my reckoning we have already had them at Fylde Brackley and Farsley so that would mean being undefeated in next 15 away games!

bga
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by bga » Fri Jan 15, 2021 12:56 pm

Old Git wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:55 am
Away record predicts only 3 away defeats. By my reckoning we have already had them at Fylde Brackley and Farsley so that would mean being undefeated in next 15 away games!
I think it is clear that whoever predicted these results was probably working from home and while they were not looking, their 5 year old child (who was beng home schooled) messed around with the Spreadsheet before Mum or Dad noticed. It is complete rubbish but funny all the same.

JE93
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by JE93 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 1:06 pm

Will be based on expected goals i assume. We've only really lost by the odd goal at home this season and on top of that we put 6 past Blyth so our home goals scored won't look too bad compared to goals conceded, which then gives you a statistical chance of winning more matches. Then away from home we have put 4 past Guiseley, 3 past Curzon, 2 past Alfreton. Up to Farsley our only losses away from home were Fylde 1-0 and then Brackley 2-0 who both had the better home records in the division and again only by the odd goal so will probably give us a statistical likelihood of beating most people away from home at the moment.

I have a spreadsheet that works in a similar way and it's still predicting we'll finish 4th based on expected goals. Always need to wait until atleast the 20 game mark before they kick out any sort of relevant predictions. Not that I hope its wrong

murtonquakerfan
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by murtonquakerfan » Fri Jan 15, 2021 1:08 pm

Unbeaten for the rest of the season and they have predicted every result to be either be 1-0 wins, 0-0 or 1-all draws

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EDJOHNS
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by EDJOHNS » Fri Jan 15, 2021 3:55 pm

Blyth and Curzon relegated.
Does anyone think there will actually be relegation from our level this season?

spen666
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by spen666 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 4:45 pm

EDJOHNS wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 3:55 pm
Blyth and Curzon relegated.
Does anyone think there will actually be relegation from our level this season?
There will be if South Shields get their way - saying you should use 46 games over 2 seasons to get a final table

Darlo_Pete
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by Darlo_Pete » Fri Jan 15, 2021 5:47 pm

EDJOHNS wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 3:55 pm
Blyth and Curzon relegated.
Does anyone think there will actually be relegation from our level this season?
Nope no chance of Blyth being relegated this season.

lo36789
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by lo36789 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 6:17 pm

spen666 wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 4:45 pm
EDJOHNS wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 3:55 pm
Blyth and Curzon relegated.
Does anyone think there will actually be relegation from our level this season?
There will be if South Shields get their way - saying you should use 46 games over 2 seasons to get a final table
They also say no relegation and increase of number of clubs to 24 at NLN of you read their proposal.

spen666
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by spen666 » Fri Jan 15, 2021 7:11 pm

lo36789 wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 6:17 pm
spen666 wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 4:45 pm
EDJOHNS wrote:
Fri Jan 15, 2021 3:55 pm
Blyth and Curzon relegated.
Does anyone think there will actually be relegation from our level this season?
There will be if South Shields get their way - saying you should use 46 games over 2 seasons to get a final table
They also say no relegation and increase of number of clubs to 24 at NLN of you read their proposal.
True.

I had read it. Not sure what I was thinking of.

norwich darlo
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Re: 4th Place Finish This Season

Post by norwich darlo » Sat Jan 16, 2021 9:46 am

Not sure what they were smoking at the time they produced this... but somehow I don't think it was a Benson and hedges.

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