The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

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Ginge01
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The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by Ginge01 » Tue Feb 06, 2018 3:17 am

Bottom 10 teams after tonight’s games, Mon Feb 05th 2018

05/02 Monday
Bradford............ 5-0 GAINSBOROUGH
CURZON............ 1-2 Kidderminster

The Bottom 10 in the Vanarama National League North, Mon Feb 05th 2018

............................ Pd .W D L..W D L....F..A....GD...Pts
13. FCUM............. 29.. 9 1 4.. 1 5 .9 45 54.. -9.. 36
14. Alfreton.......... 28.. 5 2 7.. 5 1 .8 45 46.. -1.. 33
15. Darlington ..... 29.. 6 4 5.. 2 5 .7 40 45.. -5.. 33
16. Nuneaton....... 28.. 7 3 5.. 2 3 .8 35 44.. -9.. 33
17. Leamington.... 29.. 4 3 7.. 4 5 .6 40 47.. -7.. 32
18. Southport....... 28.. 5 4 5.. 3 4 .7 37 54 -17.. 32
19. Gainsborough. 29.. 7 1 6.. 2 3 .9 32 54 -22.. 31
20. Curzon Ashton 27.. 5 5 4.. 2 4 .7 31 43 -12.. 30
21. Telford............. 25.. 3 2 7.. 5 1 .7 33 46 -13.. 27
22. North Ferriby... 28.. 0 4 11 1 2 10 14 71 -57... 9

My picks to go down, as of today, Leamington, Telford and North Ferriby.
Leamington have only 4 easier games to play, Telford need to show they can win their home games (only 3 so far)


Bottom 10 teams this week

No surprise with the final results tonight, Curzon Ashton will be frustrated that they lost with 10 mins to go against 4th place Kidderminster.

FC Utd of Man; 6 games against common bottom 10 opponents; 24/02 Telford (A), 03/03 Gainsborough (H), 31/03 Leamington (A), 14/04 Darlington (H), 21/04 Alfreton (A), 28/04 North Ferriby

Alfreton; 5 games; 03/03 Telford (H), 24/03 Southport (A), 30/03 Nuneaton (H) Fri, 02/04 Curzon (A), 21/04 FCUM (H)

Darlington; 6 games; 10/03 Curzon (H), 17/03 North Ferriby (H), 24/03 Telford (A), 31/03 Southport (H), 14/04 FCUM (A), 21/04 Nuneaton (H)

Nuneaton; 7 games; 27/02 Telford (A), 03/03 Curzon (A), 10/03 North Ferriby, (H), 17/03 Leamington (A), 30/03 Alfreton (A) Fri, 07/04 Southport (A), 21/04 Darlington (A)

Leamington; 4 games; 17/03 Nuneaton (H), 31/03 FCUM (H), 02/04 Telford (A), 14/04 Curzon (H)

Southport; 7 games; 10/02 Gainsborough (A), 17/02 North Ferriby (A), 24/02 Curzon (H), 24/03 Alfreton (H), 31/03 Darlington (A), 07/04 Nuneaton (H), TBA Telford (H)

Gainsborough; (5 games); 10/02 Southport (H), 03/03 FCUM (A), 02/04 North Ferriby (A), 21/04 Telford (A), TBA Curzon (A)
Bradford 5-0 Gainsborough; Two down at half time, Bradford added three more for a very comfortable win. Gainsborough were previously tied with Southport with the worst goal difference (-17), now it’s (-22), only North Ferriby are worse. They will need one more point than 3rd bottom at the end of the season if they are down there, they need a 3-0 win like Darlington on Saturday to help them improve (-22).

Curzon Ashton; (7 games); 13/02 Telford (A), 24/02 Southport (H), 03/03 Nuneaton (H), 10/03 02/04 Alfreton (H), Darlington (A), 14/04 Leamington (A), TBA Gainsborough (H)
Curzon Ashton 1-2 Kidderminster; Falling behind at the start of the second half, Curzon equalized only to lose with 10 mins to go. They lose a game in hand with no points to show.

Telford; (9 games); 10/02 North Ferriby (H), 13/02 Curzon (H), 24/02 FCUM (H), 27/02 Nuneaton (H), 03/03 Alfreton (A), 24/03 Darlington (H), 02/04 Leamington (H), 21/04 Gainsborough (H), TBA Southport (A)

North Ferriby; (6 games); 10/02 Telford (A), 17/02 Southport (H), 10/03 Nuneaton (A), 17/03 Darlington (A), 02/04 Gainsborough (H), 28/04 FCUM (A)


Bottom 10 outstanding games against their opponents

FCUM (6 games)
24/02 Telford (A)
03/03 Gainsborough (H)
31/03 Leamington (A)
14/04 Darlington (H)
21/04 Alfreton (A)
28/04 North Ferriby

Alfreton (5 games)
03/03 Telford (H)
24/03 Southport (A)
30/03 Nuneaton (H) Fri
02/04 Curzon (A)
21/04 FCUM (H)

Darlington (6 games)
10/03 Curzon (H)
17/03 North Ferriby (H)
24/03 Telford (A)
31/03 Southport (H)
14/04 FCUM (A)
21/04 Nuneaton (H)

Nuneaton (7 games)
27/02 Telford (A)
03/03 Curzon (A)
10/03 North Ferriby (H)
17/03 Leamington (A)
30/03 Alfreton (A) Fri
07/04 Southport (A)
21/04 Darlington (A)

Leamington (4 games)
17/03 Nuneaton (H)
31/03 FCUM (H)
02/04 Telford (A)
14/04 Curzon (H)

Southport (7 games)
10/02 Gainsborough (A)
17/02 North Ferriby (A)
24/02 Curzon (H)
24/03 Alfreton (H)
31/03 Darlington (A)
07/04 Nuneaton (H)
TBA… Telford(H)

Gainsborough (5 games)
10/02 Southport (H)
03/03 FCUM (A)
02/04 North Ferriby (A)
21/04 Telford (A)
TBA… Curzon (A)

Curzon Ashton (7 games)
13/02 Telford (A)
24/02 Southport (A)
03/03 Nuneaton (H)
10/03 Darlington (A)
02/04 Alfreton (H)
14/04 Leamington (A)
TBA… Gainsborough (H)

Telford (9 games)
10/02 North Ferriby (H)
13/02 Curzon (H)
24/02 FCUM (H)
27/02 Nuneaton (H)
03/03 Alfreton (A)
24/03 Darlington (H)
02/04 Leamington (H)
21/04 Gainsborough (H)
TBA…. Southport (A)

North Ferriby(6 games)
10/02 Telford (A)
17/02 Southport (H)
10/03 Nuneaton (A)
17/03 Darlington (A)
02/04 Gainsborough (H)
28/04 FCUM (A)


This week’s Bottom 10 games

09/02 Friday
FC UTD MAN....... vs Chorley

13/02 Saturday
Bradford............ vs DARLINGTON (3.00)
ALFRETON......... vs Tamworth
Boston.............. vs CURZON ASHTON
GAINSBOROUGH vs SOUTHPORT
LEAMINGTON….. vs Harrogate
Stockport.......... vs NUNEATON
TELFORD........... vs NORTH FERRIBY

Comment;
Two teams who have a chance to improve their position with a gentler fixture run this month compared to everyone else.

1) Southport, how often does a team in 5th bottom place have three games in a row with teams all below them. They have to get 5 points, a win over North Ferriby and two draws, maybe even two wins and a draw with the home game with Curzon Ashton
10/02 Gainsborough (A)
17/02 North Ferriby (A)
24/02 Curzon Ashton (H)

2) Telford, four home games against bottom ten opponents in February, 13th FCUM and 16th place Nuneaton will be tough for them, but 20th Telford and 22th North Ferriby, there could be two home wins for them this month.
10/02 North Ferriby (H)
13/02 Curzon (H)
24/02 FCUM (H)
27/02 Nuneaton (H)

Onto this weekend
Last edited by Ginge01 on Sun Feb 11, 2018 4:40 am, edited 2 times in total.

Darlo_Pete
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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by Darlo_Pete » Tue Feb 06, 2018 8:12 am

Thanks for the update after last nights results. Our goal difference is only -5, so that could well count as an extra point come the end of the season.

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by comeondarlo » Tue Feb 06, 2018 8:22 am

Ginge01 wrote:Bottom 10 teams after tonight’s games, Mon Feb 05th 2018

05/02 Monday
Bradford............ 5-0 GAINSBOROUGH
CURZON............ 1-2 Kidderminster

The Top 10 in the Vanarama National League North, Mon Feb 05th 2018

............................ Pd .W D L..W D L....F..A....GD...Pts
13. FCUM............. 29.. 9 1 4.. 1 5 .9 45 54.. -9.. 36
14. Alfreton.......... 28.. 5 2 7.. 5 1 .8 45 46.. -1.. 33
15. Darlington ..... 29.. 6 4 5.. 2 5 .7 40 45.. -5.. 33
16. Nuneaton....... 28.. 7 3 5.. 2 3 .8 35 44.. -9.. 33
17. Leamington.... 29.. 4 3 7.. 4 5 .6 40 47.. -7.. 32
18. Southport....... 28.. 5 4 5.. 3 4 .7 37 54 -17.. 32
19. Gainsborough. 29.. 7 1 6.. 2 3 .9 32 54 -22.. 31
20. Curzon Ashton 27.. 5 5 4.. 2 4 .7 31 43 -12.. 30
21. Telford............. 25.. 3 2 7.. 5 1 .7 33 46 -13.. 27
22. North Ferriby... 28.. 0 4 11 1 2 10 14 71 -57... 9

My picks to go down, as of today, Leamington, Telford and North Ferriby.
Leamington have only 4 easier games to play, Telford need to show they can win their home games (only 3 so far)


Bottom 10 teams this week

No surprise with the final results tonight, Curzon Ashton will be frustrated that they lost with 10 mins to go against 4th place Kidderminster.

FC Utd of Man; 6 games against common bottom 10 opponents; 24/02 Telford (A), 03/03 Gainsborough (H), 31/03 Leamington (A), 14/04 Darlington (H), 21/04 Alfreton (A), 28/04 North Ferriby

Alfreton; 5 games; 03/03 Telford (H), 24/03 Southport (A), 30/03 Nuneaton (H) Fri, 02/04 Curzon (A), 21/04 FCUM (H)

Darlington; 6 games; 10/03 Curzon (H), 17/03 North Ferriby (H), 24/03 Telford (A), 31/03 Southport (H), 14/04 FCUM (A), 21/04 Nuneaton (H)

Nuneaton; 7 games; 27/02 Telford (A), 03/03 Curzon (A), 10/03 North Ferriby, (H), 17/03 Leamington (A), 30/03 Alfreton (A) Fri, 07/04 Southport (A), 21/04 Darlington (A)

Leamington; 4 games; 17/03 Nuneaton (H), 31/03 FCUM (H), 02/04 Telford (A), 14/04 Curzon (H)

Southport; 7 games; 10/02 Gainsborough (A), 17/02 North Ferriby (A), 24/02 Curzon (H), 24/03 Alfreton (H), 31/03 Darlington (A), 07/04 Nuneaton (H), TBA Telford (H)

Gainsborough; (5 games); 10/02 Southport (H), 03/03 FCUM (A), 02/04 North Ferriby (A), 21/04 Telford (A), TBA Curzon (A)
Bradford 5-0 Gainsborough; Two down at half time, Bradford added three more for a very comfortable win. Gainsborough were previously tied with Southport with the worst goal difference (-17), now it’s (-22), only North Ferriby are worse. They will need one more point than 3rd bottom at the end of the season if they are down there, they need a 3-0 win like Darlington on Saturday to help them improve (-22).

Curzon Ashton; (7 games); 13/02 Telford (A), 24/02 Southport (H), 03/03 Nuneaton (H), 10/03 02/04 Alfreton (H), Darlington (A), 14/04 Leamington (A), TBA Gainsborough (H)
Curzon Ashton 1-2 Kidderminster; Falling behind at the start of the second half, Curzon equalized only to lose with 10 mins to go. They lose a game in hand with no points to show.

Telford; (9 games); 10/02 North Ferriby (H), 13/02 Curzon (H), 24/02 FCUM (H), 27/02 Nuneaton (H), 03/03 Alfreton (A), 24/03 Darlington (H), 02/04 Leamington (H), 21/04 Gainsborough (H), TBA Southport (A)

North Ferriby; (6 games); 10/02 Telford (A), 17/02 Southport (H), 10/03 Nuneaton (A), 17/03 Darlington (A), 02/04 Gainsborough (H), 28/04 FCUM (A)


Bottom 10 outstanding games against their opponents

FCUM (6 games)
24/02 Telford (A)
03/03 Gainsborough (H)
31/03 Leamington (A)
14/04 Darlington (H)
21/04 Alfreton (A)
28/04 North Ferriby

Alfreton (5 games)
03/03 Telford (H)
24/03 Southport (A)
30/03 Nuneaton (H) Fri
02/04 Curzon (A)
21/04 FCUM (H)

Darlington (6 games)
10/03 Curzon (H)
17/03 North Ferriby (H)
24/03 Telford (A)
31/03 Southport (H)
14/04 FCUM (A)
21/04 Nuneaton (H)

Nuneaton (7 games)
27/02 Telford (A)
03/03 Curzon (A)
10/03 North Ferriby (H)
17/03 Leamington (A)
30/03 Alfreton (A) Fri
07/04 Southport (A)
21/04 Darlington (A)

Leamington (4 games)
17/03 Nuneaton (H)
31/03 FCUM (H)
02/04 Telford (A)
14/04 Curzon (H)

Southport (7 games)
10/02 Gainsborough (A)
17/02 North Ferriby (A)
24/02 Curzon (H)
24/03 Alfreton (H)
31/03 Darlington (A)
07/04 Nuneaton (H)
TBA… Telford(H)

Gainsborough (5 games)
10/02 Southport (H)
03/03 FCUM (A)
02/04 North Ferriby (A)
21/04 Telford (A)
TBA… Curzon (A)

Curzon Ashton (7 games)
13/02 Telford (A)
24/02 Southport (A)
03/03 Nuneaton (H)
10/03 Darlington (A)
02/04 Alfreton (H)
14/04 Leamington (A)
TBA… Gainsborough (H)

Telford (9 games)
10/02 North Ferriby (H)
13/02 Curzon (H)
24/02 FCUM (H)
27/02 Nuneaton (H)
03/03 Alfreton (A)
24/03 Darlington (H)
02/04 Leamington (H)
21/04 Gainsborough (H)
TBA…. Southport (A)

North Ferriby(6 games)
10/02 Telford (A)
17/02 Southport (H)
10/03 Nuneaton (A)
17/03 Darlington (A)
02/04 Gainsborough (H)
28/04 FCUM (A)


This week’s Bottom 10 games

09/02 Friday
FC UTD MAN....... vs Chorley

15/04 Saturday
Bradford............ vs DARLINGTON (3.00)
ALFRETON......... vs Tamworth
Boston.............. vs CURZON ASHTON
GAINSBOROUGH vs SOUTHPORT
LEAMINGTON….. vs Harrogate
Stockport.......... vs NUNEATON
TELFORD........... vs NORTH FERRIBY

Comment;
Two teams who have a chance to improve their position with a gentler fixture run this month compared to everyone else.

1) Southport, how often does a team in 5th bottom place have three games in a row with teams all below them. They have to get 5 points, a win over North Ferriby and two draws, maybe even two wins and a draw with the home game with Curzon Ashton
10/02 Gainsborough (A)
17/02 North Ferriby (A)
24/02 Curzon Ashton (H)

2) Telford, four home games against bottom ten opponents in February, 13th FCUM and 16th place Nuneaton will be tough for them, but 20th Telford and 22th North Ferriby, there could be two home wins for them this month.
10/02 North Ferriby (H)
13/02 Curzon (H)
24/02 FCUM (H)
27/02 Nuneaton (H)

Onto this weekend
Celebrate good times......Ginge is back!!

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The Equalizer
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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by The Equalizer » Tue Feb 06, 2018 10:19 am

Darlo_Pete wrote:Thanks for the update after last nights results. Our goal difference is only -5, so that could well count as an extra point come the end of the season.
I was surprised at that figure I would have thought given our terrible run it would have been much worse.

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by dfcdfcdfc » Tue Feb 06, 2018 10:27 am

My only reservation about your predictions is that Gainsborough have a terrible away record and 4/5 of their games against the bottom 10 are away!

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by dfcdfcdfc » Tue Feb 06, 2018 10:27 am

My only reservation about your predictions is that Gainsborough have a terrible away record and 4/5 of their games against the bottom 10 are away!

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by divas » Tue Feb 06, 2018 11:32 am

The Equalizer wrote:
Darlo_Pete wrote:Thanks for the update after last nights results. Our goal difference is only -5, so that could well count as an extra point come the end of the season.
I was surprised at that figure I would have thought given our terrible run it would have been much worse.

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Despite shipping lots of goals we’ve only generally been beaten by one goal. We’ve not really been hammered by 2 or 3 very often.

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by lo36789 » Tue Feb 06, 2018 12:20 pm

The form table really tells a story about who is in real trouble. I am wondering if we can climb to a top 10 season this season...

I am not convinced that when we actually get to the final league table of the season we will look that out of touch with the playoffs (3 or 4 points maybe).

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by Ginge01 » Wed Feb 07, 2018 7:18 am

Darlo_Pete wrote:Thanks for the update after last nights results. Our goal difference is only -5, so that could well count as an extra point come the end of the season.
Agreed Darlo_Pete, the goal difference is like having an extra point in the table.
comeondarlo wrote:
Ginge01 wrote:Bottom 10 teams after tonight’s games, Mon Feb 05th 2018

Celebrate good times......Ginge is back!!
LoL Thanks comeondarlo, glad to be back
dfcdfcdfc wrote:My only reservation about your predictions is that Gainsborough have a terrible away record and 4/5 of their games against the bottom 10 are away!
Gainsborough had done well for a couple of games, I was not expecting a 5-0 thrashing by Bradford. The -22 goal difference is a worry for them. A long way to go still

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by don'tbuythesun » Wed Feb 07, 2018 8:25 am

Remember the year we were awful til Christmas then went on a run to reach the play-off final...2000? Back to reality!!

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by Darlo_Pete » Wed Feb 07, 2018 10:26 am

don'tbuythesun wrote:Remember the year we were awful til Christmas then went on a run to reach the play-off final...2000? Back to reality!!
Keep taking the medication. :lol:

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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by theoriginalfatcat » Wed Feb 07, 2018 12:07 pm

lo36789 wrote:The form table really tells a story about who is in real trouble. I am wondering if we can climb to a top 10 season this season...

I am not convinced that when we actually get to the final league table of the season we will look that out of touch with the playoffs (3 or 4 points maybe).
I hope you're right but don't share your level of optimism. Confidence and form are a fragile thing and the way this season has played out up to now there's a possibility more bad luck could fall on us. Styche getting nobbled for example.

I'm confident we'll avoid the drop, but it could be tense.
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Re: The Bottom 10, Monday Feb 5th 2018

Post by quaker4life » Wed Feb 07, 2018 1:39 pm

lo36789 wrote: I am not convinced that when we actually get to the final league table of the season we will look that out of touch with the playoffs (3 or 4 points maybe).
I am convinced though that you are deluded and clutching at straws.

We will be well out of touch of the play offs come April and we'll be much closer to the bottom seven than the top seven.

Avoiding relegation is the be all and end all of this season.
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